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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dandenong City v Bentleigh Greens: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia

Dandenong City

LDLDW
3–0
FT

Bentleigh Greens

WWWLL
Dandenong City 43%Draw 23%Bentleigh Greens 33% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.11
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Dandenong City to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDandenong City to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dandenong City welcome Bentleigh Greens for a Victoria NPL fixture on Saturday 11 April (08:15 WAT).

Current form

Dandenong City, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to South Melbourne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Bentleigh Greens, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dandenong Thunder, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bentleigh Greens, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Dandenong City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong City 1.6 xG, Bentleigh Greens 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong City 43%, draw 23%, Bentleigh Greens 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Dandenong City to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dandenong City43%fair 2.31 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Bentleigh Greens33%fair 2.99 · @2.38
2.75Expected goals
1.65Dandenong City xG
1.11Bentleigh Greens xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%

From our goals model: Dandenong City 1.6 – 1.1 Bentleigh Greens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDandenong City to win ✓43%2.312.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.50
Draw no betDandenong City (draw no bet) ✓56%1.77–
Asian handicapBentleigh Greens +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreDandenong City to score first ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dandenong City / FT Dandenong City ✓30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Dandenong City – last 6

LDLDWL
31 Mar@ South Melbourne2–4L
20 Marvs Hume City1–1D
14 Mar@ Avondale1–4L
6 Marvs Sunshine Georgies0–0D
27 Feb@ Heidelberg United2–1W
20 Febvs Melbourne City II2–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bentleigh Greens – last 6

WWWLLW
27 Marvs Dandenong Thunder2–1W
20 Marvs Green Gully4–0W
14 Mar@ Altona Magic2–0W
7 Mar@ South Melbourne0–1L
28 Feb@ Hume City0–1L
20 Febvs Avondale2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dandenong City and Bentleigh Greens.

Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Heidelberg United2 Altona Magic2 163%1.36X21%4.60216%6.80 1.9–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.62 ✗
FT Preston Lions0 South Melbourne3 152%1.77X25%3.65223%3.80 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Oakleigh Cannons3 Hume City2 159%1.68X23%3.80218%4.10 2.0–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗
FT Dandenong Thunder1 Green Gully1 144%1.80X24%3.70232%3.60 1.4–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?

On our numbers Dandenong City have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bentleigh Greens 33%.

How many goals will there be in Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?

Our predicted score is Dandenong City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?

Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.