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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Preston Lions v South Melbourne: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · Genis Steel Stadium

Preston Lions

LWDLW
0–3
FT

South Melbourne

WLLWW
Preston Lions 52%Draw 25%South Melbourne 23% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.05
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPreston Lions to win ✗52% · @1.77
Double chancePreston Lions or draw ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Preston Lions vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Preston Lions v South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL, played at Genis Steel Stadium.

Current form

Preston Lions, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hume City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

South Melbourne, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Dandenong City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Preston Lions 1.6 xG, South Melbourne 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Preston Lions 52%, draw 25%, South Melbourne 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Preston Lions or draw (77%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston Lions 1–1 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Preston Lions52%fair 1.92 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.65
South Melbourne23%fair 4.44 · @3.80
2.61Expected goals
1.57Preston Lions xG
1.05South Melbourne xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Preston Lions 1.6 – 1.0 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPreston Lions to win ✗52%1.921.77
Double chancePreston Lions or draw ✗77%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.62
Draw no betPreston Lions (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapSouth Melbourne +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scorePreston Lions to score first ✗56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Preston Lions / FT Preston Lions ✗30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Preston Lions – last 6

LWDLWW
28 Mar@ Hume City2–3L
20 Marvs Avondale2–1W
13 Marvs Sunshine Georgies1–1D
8 Marvs Heidelberg United0–1L
1 Mar@ Melbourne City II3–0W
20 Febvs St. Albans Saints3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

WLLWWW
31 Marvs Dandenong City4–2W
21 Mar@ Dandenong Thunder0–3L
15 Mar@ Vanuatu United0–2L
13 Mar@ Green Gully1–0W
7 Marvs Bentleigh Greens1–0W
4 Marvs Solomon Kings5–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Preston Lions and South Melbourne.

Preston Lions vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Heidelberg United2 Altona Magic2 163%1.36X21%4.60216%6.80 1.9–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.62 ✗
FT Oakleigh Cannons3 Hume City2 159%1.68X23%3.80218%4.10 2.0–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗
FT Dandenong City3 Bentleigh Greens0 143%2.55X23%3.50233%2.38 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Dandenong Thunder1 Green Gully1 144%1.80X24%3.70232%3.60 1.4–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston Lions vs South Melbourne?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Preston Lions vs South Melbourne?

On our numbers Preston Lions have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and South Melbourne 23%.

How many goals will there be in Preston Lions vs South Melbourne?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Preston Lions vs South Melbourne?

Our predicted score is Preston Lions 1–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Preston Lions vs South Melbourne?

Preston Lions vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Genis Steel Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.