Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMekelakeya to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceMekelakeya or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24
Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mekelakeya welcome Welwalo Adigrat Uni for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 8 March (13:00 WAT). In the table, Mekelakeya are 2nd, among the top four, on 10 points after 5 matches; Welwalo Adigrat Uni are 17th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Mekelakeya, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ethiopia Nigd Bank, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Suhul Shire, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Welwalo Adigrat Uni, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Mekelakeya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mekelakeya 1.3 xG, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mekelakeya 47%, draw 30%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 24%.
Lower-risk option: Mekelakeya or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mekelakeya or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mekelakeya 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mekelakeya47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.60
Welwalo Adigrat Uni24%fair 4.23 · @3.80
2.05Expected goals
1.31Mekelakeya xG
0.74Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mekelakeya 1.3 – 0.7 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mekelakeya to win✗
47%
2.14
2.10
Double chance
Mekelakeya or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Mekelakeya (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Welwalo Adigrat Uni +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Mekelakeya to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mekelakeya / FT Mekelakeya✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.24
–
Recent results
Mekelakeya – last 3
WDL
3 Mar
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Mekelle Kenema
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Welayta Dicha
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 3
WWD
3 Mar
vs Suhul Shire
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Fasil Ketema
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Sidama Bunna
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mekelakeya and Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
What is the prediction for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our pick is Mekelakeya or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
On our numbers Mekelakeya have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 24%.
How many goals will there be in Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our predicted score is Mekelakeya 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
