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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mebrat Hayl v Ethiopia Bunna: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
Mebrat Hayl 37%Draw 32%Ethiopia Bunna 31% Expected goals 0.95 – 0.72
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultMebrat Hayl to win ✓37% · @2.70
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✓69% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62

Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mebrat Hayl welcome Ethiopia Bunna for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 8 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, Mebrat Hayl are 8th, upper half, on 7 points after 5 matches; Ethiopia Bunna are 14th (lower half) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mebrat Hayl, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Arba Minch Kenema, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mebrat Hayl 0.9 xG, Ethiopia Bunna 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mebrat Hayl 37%, draw 32%, Ethiopia Bunna 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mebrat Hayl or draw (69%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mebrat Hayl37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
Draw32%fair 3.15 · @2.70
Ethiopia Bunna31%fair 3.22 · @2.80
1.67Expected goals
0.95Mebrat Hayl xG
0.72Ethiopia Bunna xG
38%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.9 – 0.7 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMebrat Hayl to win ✓37%2.692.70
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✓69%1.451.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗62%1.62–
Draw no betMebrat Hayl (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapEthiopia Bunna +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74%1.341.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreMebrat Hayl to score first ✓46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.62–

Recent results

Mebrat Hayl – last 3

WLD
4 Mar@ Arba Minch Kenema4–1W
27 Febvs Hadiya Hosaena0–1L
22 Feb@ Sheger Ketema0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ethiopia Bunna – last 2

WW
4 Marvs Bahardar2–0W
26 Feb@ Negelle Arsi1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopia Bunna.

Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?

On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Ethiopia Bunna 31%.

How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.