Value bet: Sheger Ketema to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSheger Ketema to win ✓37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.88
Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kedus Giorgis travel to face Sheger Ketema on Sunday 8 March in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sheger Ketema are 12th, lower half, on 5 points after 5 matches; Kedus Giorgis are 9th (upper half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sheger Ketema, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ethiopian Medhin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sheger Ketema 1.1 xG, Kedus Giorgis 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sheger Ketema 37%, draw 31%, Kedus Giorgis 32%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Sheger Ketema to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheger Ketema 1–0 Kedus Giorgis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sheger Ketema37%fair 2.67 · @3.00
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.45
Kedus Giorgis32%fair 3.17 · @2.60
2.02Expected goals
1.09Sheger Ketema xG
0.93Kedus Giorgis xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 1.1 – 0.9 Kedus Giorgis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win✓
37%
2.67
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.44
Draw no bet
Sheger Ketema (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Kedus Giorgis +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sheger Ketema to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheger Ketema / FT Sheger Ketema✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.88
–
Recent results
Sheger Ketema – last 3
DDD
3 Mar
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Adama Kenema
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Mebrat Hayl
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kedus Giorgis – last 2
DL
3 Mar
vs Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Ethiopian Medhin
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Kedus Giorgis.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Kedus Giorgis 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 1–0 Kedus Giorgis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
