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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rotor Volgograd v Ural: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Volgograd Arena
1–1
FT
Rotor Volgograd 30%Draw 29%Ural 41% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.17
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.37Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.22 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUral to win ✗41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.22
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.84

Rotor Volgograd vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 9 March the First League brings Rotor Volgograd against Ural at Volgograd Arena. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Rotor Volgograd are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Ural are 2nd (among the top four) with 34. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rotor Volgograd 0.9 xG, Ural 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rotor Volgograd 30%, draw 29%, Ural 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.22.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotor Volgograd 0–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rotor Volgograd30%fair 3.36 · @3.32
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.84
Ural41%fair 2.45 · @2.35
2.11Expected goals
0.95Rotor Volgograd xG
1.17Ural xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 0.9 – 1.2 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Rotor VolgogradUral
Attack vs First League average+4%+24%
Goals conceded vs average-17%-37%
Our expected goals here0.971.20

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUral to win ✗41%2.452.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.421.38
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.22 ▲
Draw no betUral (draw no bet)58%1.73–
Asian handicapRotor Volgograd +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.651.59
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.37
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreUral to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ural / FT Ural ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.84–

Recent results

Rotor Volgograd – last 2

LL
18 Febvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–3L
17 Febvs Surkhon0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ural – last 1

L
27 Feb@ Fakel0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and Ural.

Rotor Volgograd vs Ural head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?

On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ural 41%.

How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?

Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 0–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?

Rotor Volgograd vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.