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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shinnik Yaroslavl v FC UFA: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Shinnik
Shinnik Yaroslavl 45%Draw 30%FC UFA 25% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.81
75%
Betarazi pick

Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓45% · @2.06
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.17

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shinnik Yaroslavl welcome FC UFA to Stadion Shinnik for a First League fixture on Monday 9 March (13:00 WAT). In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; FC UFA are 8th (upper half) with 22.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 xG, FC UFA 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 45%, draw 30%, FC UFA 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (75%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.54.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shinnik Yaroslavl45%fair 2.21 · @2.06
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.94
FC UFA25%fair 4.05 · @3.94
1.98Expected goals
1.17Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.81FC UFA xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 – 0.8 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Shinnik YaroslavlFC UFA
Attack vs First League average-5%-21%
Goals conceded vs average-19%-26%
Our expected goals here1.040.74

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓45%2.212.06
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.54
Draw no betShinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet) ✓65%1.55–
Asian handicapFC UFA +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.701.59
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.37
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.01
First team to scoreShinnik Yaroslavl to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl ✓25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.17–

Recent results

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 1

L
2 Mar@ Rodina Moskva1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

FC UFA – last 1

W
16 Febvs Aktobe4–1W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and FC UFA.

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and FC UFA 25%.

How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.