Value bet: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @ 4.10 – our chance 28% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗47% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 9 March: Arsenal Tula v Volga Ulyanovsk in the First League, played at Stadion Arsenal. In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.4 xG, Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 47%, draw 25%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.98.
Price worth noting: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula47%fair 2.15 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.22
Volga Ulyanovsk28%fair 3.57 · @4.10
2.60Expected goals
1.40Arsenal Tula xG
1.20Volga Ulyanovsk xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.4 – 1.2 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arsenal Tula
Volga Ulyanovsk
Attack vs First League average
-6%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+37%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.44
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
47%
2.15
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.98 ▲
Draw no bet
Arsenal Tula (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Volga Ulyanovsk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.02
First team to score
Arsenal Tula to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula – last 2
LD
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ Enisey
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Volga Ulyanovsk 28%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
