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Hegelmann Litauen v FK Zalgiris Vilnius: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Raudondvario stadionas
Hegelmann Litauen 22%Draw 24%FK Zalgiris Vilnius 54% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.74
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✗54% · @1.75
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:15 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Hegelmann Litauen v FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the A Lyga, played at Raudondvario stadionas. In the table, Hegelmann Litauen are 8th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hegelmann Litauen, last 4: DDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Šiauliai, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to TransINVEST Vilnius, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Hegelmann Litauen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann Litauen 1.1 xG, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann Litauen 22%, draw 24%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw (78%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hegelmann Litauen22%fair 4.55 · @4.20
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
FK Zalgiris Vilnius54%fair 1.84 · @1.75
2.80Expected goals
1.06Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.74FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
0–06%

From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 1.1 – 1.7 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✗54%1.841.75
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✓78%1.281.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.70
Draw no betFK Zalgiris Vilnius (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapHegelmann Litauen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreFK Zalgiris Vilnius to score first ✗58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Zalgiris Vilnius / FT FK Zalgiris Vilnius ✗33%3.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Hegelmann Litauen – last 4

DDLW
11 Marvs Šiauliai1–1D
7 Mar@ Panevėžys1–1D
22 Febvs Banga0–2L
15 Febvs Grobiņa2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 5

LWWLW
16 Marvs TransINVEST Vilnius1–2L
10 Marvs Suduva Marijampole1–0W
27 Febvs Panevėžys4–1W
21 Febvs Džiugas Telšiai2–3L
14 Febvs Ogre United2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann Litauen and FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

More A Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 54%.

How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.