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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Banga v Kauno Žalgiris: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Gargzdai stadium

Banga

WWDLL
2–2
FT

Kauno Žalgiris

WWWWW
Banga 21%Draw 25%Kauno Žalgiris 54% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.57
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗54% · @1.58
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Friday 1 May: Banga v Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga, played at Gargzdai stadium. In the table, Banga are 5th, upper half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Kauno Žalgiris are 1st (leading the league) with 58. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Banga, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hegelmann Litauen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sveikata, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kauno Žalgiris, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Banga.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Banga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Banga 1.0 xG, Kauno Žalgiris 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Banga 21%, draw 25%, Kauno Žalgiris 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.82.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Banga 1–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Banga21%fair 4.79 · @4.70
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.45
Kauno Žalgiris54%fair 1.84 · @1.58
2.58Expected goals
1.01Banga xG
1.57Kauno Žalgiris xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Banga 1.0 – 1.6 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗54%1.841.58
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓79%1.261.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.82
Draw no betKauno Žalgiris (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapBanga +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.09
First team to scoreKauno Žalgiris to score first56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Banga – last 6

WWDLLW
26 Aprvs Hegelmann Litauen2–1W
21 Apr@ Vilniaus Vytis4–0W
17 Apr@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius1–1D
15 Marvs Džiugas Telšiai0–1L
11 Mar@ TransINVEST Vilnius0–1L
8 Marvs FK Trakai5–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kauno Žalgiris – last 6

WWWWWW
28 Apr@ Sveikata3–0W
5 Apr@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius3–0W
15 Mar@ Šiauliai5–0W
10 Marvs Panevėžys4–0W
7 Mar@ Džiugas Telšiai2–1W
28 Febvs Banga1–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Kauno Žalgiris v Banga1–0
Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

More A Lyga predictions

League hub
FT Džiugas Telšiai3 Hegelmann Litauen0 144%2.20X25%3.00231%2.88 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?

On our numbers Banga have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kauno Žalgiris 54%.

How many goals will there be in Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our predicted score is Banga 1–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gargzdai stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.