Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✗76% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Zalgiris Vilnius travel to face Panevėžys on Sunday 3 May in the A Lyga, with Aukstaitijos Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:15 WAT. In the table, Panevėžys are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Panevėžys, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Radviliškis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Džiugas Telšiai, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Panevėžys, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4–1 Panevėžys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panevėžys 1.1 xG, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panevėžys 24%, draw 25%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 50%.
Lower-risk option: FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw (76%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panevėžys 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panevėžys24%fair 4.13 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.55
FK Zalgiris Vilnius50%fair 1.98 · @1.70
2.61Expected goals
1.14Panevėžys xG
1.47FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.1 – 1.5 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 50%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
