Value bet: Panevėžys to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPanevėžys to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the A Lyga brings Hegelmann Litauen against Panevėžys at Raudondvario stadionas. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Hegelmann Litauen are 8th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Panevėžys are 7th (lower half) with 38. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Džiugas Telšiai, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Panevėžys, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Zalgiris Vilnius, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Panevėžys, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Hegelmann Litauen.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Panevėžys 1–1 Hegelmann Litauen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann Litauen 1.1 xG, Panevėžys 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann Litauen 36%, draw 26%, Panevėžys 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Panevėžys to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Panevėžys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hegelmann Litauen36%fair 2.78 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Panevėžys38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.42Expected goals
1.13Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.29Panevėžys xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 1.1 – 1.3 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Panevėžys 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys?
Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
