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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Džiugas Telšiai v Suduva Marijampole: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Telsiai Central Stadium
Džiugas Telšiai 33%Draw 26%Suduva Marijampole 41% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.42
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.38

Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Suduva Marijampole travel to face Džiugas Telšiai on Sunday 21 June in the A Lyga, with Telsiai Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:15 WAT. In the table, Džiugas Telšiai are 6th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Suduva Marijampole are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Džiugas Telšiai, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hegelmann Litauen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Suduva Marijampole, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Šiauliai, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Suduva Marijampole 3–2 Džiugas Telšiai.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Džiugas Telšiai 1.2 xG, Suduva Marijampole 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Džiugas Telšiai 33%, draw 26%, Suduva Marijampole 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Džiugas Telšiai 1–1 Suduva Marijampole. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Džiugas Telšiai33%fair 3.01 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
Suduva Marijampole41%fair 2.45 · @2.45
2.63Expected goals
1.21Džiugas Telšiai xG
1.42Suduva Marijampole xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Džiugas Telšiai 1.2 – 1.4 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓41%2.452.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.83 ▲
Draw no betSuduva Marijampole (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapDžiugas Telšiai +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSuduva Marijampole to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole ✓24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.38–

Recent results

Džiugas Telšiai – last 6

DWWWDW
17 Jun@ Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
12 Junvs Šiauliai4–3W
30 Mayvs Panevėžys4–0W
24 Mayvs TransINVEST Vilnius3–2W
5 May@ Kauno Žalgiris2–2D
1 Mayvs Hegelmann Litauen3–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Suduva Marijampole – last 6

WDWWDD
16 Junvs Šiauliai2–1W
13 Junvs Banga0–0D
29 May@ FK Trakai3–0W
23 Mayvs Kauno Žalgiris2–1W
10 Mayvs FK Zalgiris Vilnius1–1D
6 May@ TransINVEST Vilnius1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Suduva Marijampole v Džiugas Telšiai3–2
Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

On our numbers Džiugas Telšiai have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Suduva Marijampole 41%.

How many goals will there be in Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our predicted score is Džiugas Telšiai 1–1 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Telsiai Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.