Hungary vs Finland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Friday 5 June: Hungary v Finland in the Friendlies, played at Puskás Aréna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hungary 1.3 xG, Finland 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hungary 53%, draw 24%, Finland 23%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hungary 1–0 Finland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hungary53%fair 1.90 · @1.58
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.75
Finland23%fair 4.34 · @5.25
2.24Expected goals
1.30Hungary xG
0.93Finland xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Hungary 1.3 – 0.9 Finland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hungary
Finland
Attack vs Friendlies average
+2%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.20
1.18
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hungary to win✓
53%
1.90
1.58
Double chance
Hungary or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.90
Draw no bet
Hungary (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Finland +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Hungary to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hungary / FT Hungary✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Hungary – last 1
D
31 Mar
vs Greece
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Finland – last 2
LW
31 May
@ Germany
0–4
L
27 Mar
@ New Zealand
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Finland.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hungary vs Finland?
On our numbers Hungary have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Finland 23%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Finland?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hungary vs Finland?
Our predicted score is Hungary 1–0 Finland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hungary vs Finland?
Hungary vs Finland (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.