Tajikistan vs India: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 5 June: Tajikistan v India in the Friendlies, played at Hisor Central Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tajikistan 1.8 xG, India 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tajikistan 63%, draw 22%, India 15%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tajikistan 1–0 India. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tajikistan63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.55
India15%fair 6.78 · @5.10
2.49Expected goals
1.77Tajikistan xG
0.72India xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Tajikistan 1.8 – 0.7 India expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tajikistan
India
Attack vs Friendlies average
-12%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+48%
Our expected goals here
2.24
0.93
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tajikistan to win✓
63%
1.59
1.60
Double chance
Tajikistan or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Draw no bet
Tajikistan (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Tajikistan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Tajikistan to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Tajikistan ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tajikistan / FT Tajikistan✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Tajikistan – last 1
D
31 Mar
vs Philippines
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
India – last 2
LW
27 May
@ Jamaica
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Hong Kong
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tajikistan and India.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tajikistan vs India?
On our numbers Tajikistan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and India 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tajikistan vs India?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tajikistan vs India?
Our predicted score is Tajikistan 1–0 India, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tajikistan vs India?
Tajikistan vs India (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hisor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.