Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 58% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBangladesh to win ✓37% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.72
San Marino vs Bangladesh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bangladesh travel to face San Marino on Friday 5 June in the Friendlies, with San Marino Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Marino 1.3 xG, Bangladesh 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Marino 37%, draw 26%, Bangladesh 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marino 1–1 Bangladesh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Marino37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.95
Bangladesh37%fair 2.69 · @2.85
2.66Expected goals
1.28San Marino xG
1.38Bangladesh xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Marino 1.3 – 1.4 Bangladesh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Marino
Bangladesh
Attack vs Friendlies average
-10%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.95
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bangladesh to win✓
37%
2.69
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Bangladesh (draw no bet)✓
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
San Marino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Bangladesh to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bangladesh / FT Bangladesh✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
San Marino – last 1
D
31 Mar
vs Andorra
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bangladesh – last 2
LL
31 Mar
@ Singapore
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Vietnam
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marino and Bangladesh.
What is the prediction for San Marino vs Bangladesh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win San Marino vs Bangladesh?
On our numbers San Marino have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bangladesh 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Marino vs Bangladesh?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marino vs Bangladesh?
Our predicted score is San Marino 1–1 Bangladesh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is San Marino vs Bangladesh?
San Marino vs Bangladesh (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at San Marino Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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