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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mexico v Serbia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Estadio Nemesio Diez

Mexico

WWDDW
5–1
FT

Serbia

LWL
Mexico 66%Draw 21%Serbia 13% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.82
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMexico to win ✓66% · @1.23
Double chanceMexico or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.43

Mexico vs Serbia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mexico welcome Serbia to Estadio Nemesio Diez for a Friendlies fixture on Friday 5 June (03:00 WAT).

Current form

Mexico, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Australia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Serbia, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cape Verde Islands, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Mexico, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Serbia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mexico 1.8 xG, Serbia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mexico 66%, draw 21%, Serbia 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mexico 2–0 Serbia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mexico66%fair 1.52 · @1.23
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @5.70
Serbia13%fair 7.68 · @13.00
2.59Expected goals
1.77Mexico xG
0.82Serbia xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Mexico 1.8 – 0.8 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MexicoSerbia
Attack vs Friendlies average-21%-8%
Goals conceded vs average-3%+27%
Our expected goals here1.721.09

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMexico to win ✓66%1.521.23
Double chanceMexico or draw ✓87%1.151.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.53
Draw no betMexico (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapSerbia +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.15
First team to scoreMexico to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultMexico ahead at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mexico / FT Mexico ✓37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%14.43–

Recent results

Mexico – last 5

WWDDW
31 Mayvs Australia1–0W
23 Mayvs Ghana2–0W
1 Aprvs Belgium1–1D
29 Marvs Portugal0–0D
26 Febvs Iceland4–0W
1.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Serbia – last 3

LWL
31 May@ Cape Verde Islands0–3L
31 Marvs Saudi Arabia2–1W
27 Mar@ Spain0–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Serbia.

Mexico vs Serbia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
FT Czech Republic3 Guatemala1 161%1.18X18%6.60221%14.50 1.8–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Singapore1 China2 131%6.00X23%3.80246%1.51 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Hong Kong2 Mongolia0 178%1.05X18%9.5025%23.00 3.1–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗
FT Thailand2 Kuwait2 163%1.70X22%3.45215%4.50 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Indonesia3 Oman0 136%2.15X23%3.20242%3.10 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Tajikistan3 India1 163%1.60X22%3.55215%5.10 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Slovakia2 Montenegro2 155%1.61X25%3.55220%5.25 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT San Marino1 Bangladesh2 137%2.45X26%2.95237%2.85 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mexico vs Serbia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mexico vs Serbia?

On our numbers Mexico have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Serbia 13%.

How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Serbia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Serbia?

Our predicted score is Mexico 2–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mexico vs Serbia?

Mexico vs Serbia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.