Value bet: Tianjin Teda to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQingdao Youth Island to win ✗36% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.48
Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qingdao Youth Island welcome Tianjin Teda to Guzhenkou University Sports Center for a Super League fixture on Tuesday 5 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Qingdao Youth Island are 8th, upper half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Tianjin Teda are 12th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shandong Luneng, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tianjin Teda, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shandong Luneng, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Youth Island 1.1 xG, Tianjin Teda 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Youth Island 36%, draw 28%, Tianjin Teda 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Tianjin Teda to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Tianjin Teda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Youth Island36%fair 2.75 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.15
Tianjin Teda35%fair 2.84 · @3.15
2.32Expected goals
1.12Qingdao Youth Island xG
1.19Tianjin Teda xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.1 – 1.2 Tianjin Teda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Youth Island to win✗
36%
2.75
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Qingdao Youth Island (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Qingdao Youth Island +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Tianjin Teda to score first
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tianjin Teda / FT Tianjin Teda✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.48
–
Recent results
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDDDLW
1 May
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
21 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tianjin Teda – last 6
LWDLLD
21 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–0
W
12 Apr
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Shenyang Urban
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Youth Island and Tianjin Teda.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tianjin Teda 35%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Tianjin Teda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
