Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 5 May the Super League brings Chongqing Tongliang Long against Henan Jianye at Tongliang Long Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Henan Jianye are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28.
Current form
Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dalian Zhixing, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Henan Jianye, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Shenyang Urban, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chongqing Tongliang Long, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Henan Jianye.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.2 xG, Henan Jianye 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chongqing Tongliang Long 39%, draw 28%, Henan Jianye 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Henan Jianye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long39%fair 2.55 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.10
Henan Jianye33%fair 3.07 · @2.62
2.21Expected goals
1.21Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
1.00Henan Jianye xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.2 – 1.0 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win✗
39%
2.55
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Chongqing Tongliang Long (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Henan Jianye +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Chongqing Tongliang Long to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
LDWWWD
1 May
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
WLDLDW
1 May
vs Shenyang Urban
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Henan Jianye 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
