Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13
Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shandong Luneng welcome Shanghai Shenhua to Jinan Olympic Sports Center for a Super League fixture on Tuesday 5 May (12:35 WAT). In the table, Shandong Luneng are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Shanghai Shenhua are 7th (upper half) with 40.
Current form
Shandong Luneng, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Qingdao Youth Island, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Chengdu Better City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Shanghai Shenhua, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Shandong Luneng.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 1.7 xG, Shanghai Shenhua 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 35%, draw 23%, Shanghai Shenhua 43%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 1–2 Shanghai Shenhua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shandong Luneng35%fair 2.87 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Shanghai Shenhua43%fair 2.35 · @2.20
3.51Expected goals
1.72Shandong Luneng xG
1.79Shanghai Shenhua xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 1.7 – 1.8 Shanghai Shenhua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shanghai Shenhua to win✗
43%
2.35
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.38
Draw no bet
Shanghai Shenhua (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Shandong Luneng +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
First team to score
Shanghai Shenhua to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shanghai Shenhua / FT Shanghai Shenhua✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
Shandong Luneng – last 6
DLWDLW
1 May
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
1–4
L
21 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua – last 6
LWWWDD
1 May
vs Chengdu Better City
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Henan Jianye
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Qingdao Jonoon
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
3–2
W
21 Mar
@ Beijing Guoan
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and Shanghai Shenhua.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shanghai Shenhua 43%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 1–2 Shanghai Shenhua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Shandong Luneng vs Shanghai Shenhua (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
