Value bet: Shanghai Shenhua to win @ 2.82 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✗41% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 30 May the Super League brings Qingdao Youth Island against Shanghai Shenhua at Guzhenkou University Sports Center. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Qingdao Youth Island are 8th, upper half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Shanghai Shenhua are 7th (upper half) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Yunnan Yukun, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sichuan Jiuniu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Youth Island 1.2 xG, Shanghai Shenhua 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Youth Island 35%, draw 24%, Shanghai Shenhua 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Shanghai Shenhua to win @2.82 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Youth Island35%fair 2.88 · @2.24
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Shanghai Shenhua41%fair 2.44 · @2.82
2.87Expected goals
1.24Qingdao Youth Island xG
1.62Shanghai Shenhua xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.2 – 1.6 Shanghai Shenhua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shanghai Shenhua to win✗
41%
2.44
2.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Draw no bet
Shanghai Shenhua (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Qingdao Youth Island +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Shanghai Shenhua to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shanghai Shenhua / FT Shanghai Shenhua✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
WDDDDD
24 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–2
W
19 May
vs Beijing Guoan
1–1
D
10 May
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
5 May
vs Tianjin Teda
1–1
D
1 May
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua – last 6
LDDLLW
24 May
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–2
L
20 May
vs Wuhan Three Towns
2–2
D
9 May
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
2–2
D
5 May
@ Shandong Luneng
1–4
L
1 May
vs Chengdu Better City
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Henan Jianye
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Youth Island and Shanghai Shenhua.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shanghai Shenhua 41%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
