Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Chongqing Tongliang Long v Beijing Guoan in the Super League, played at Longxing Football Stadium. In the table, Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Beijing Guoan are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qingdao Jonoon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Beijing Guoan, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Henan Jianye, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.0 xG, Beijing Guoan 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chongqing Tongliang Long 23%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 51%.
Lower-risk option: Beijing Guoan or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beijing Guoan or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0–1 Beijing Guoan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.50
Beijing Guoan51%fair 1.95 · @1.88
2.53Expected goals
0.99Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
1.54Beijing Guoan xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.0 – 1.5 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
51%
1.95
1.88
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Chongqing Tongliang Long +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
WDDDLD
24 May
@ Qingdao Jonoon
1–0
W
20 May
vs Yunnan Yukun
0–0
D
9 May
@ Shanghai Shenhua
2–2
D
5 May
vs Henan Jianye
1–1
D
1 May
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
LDDWDW
23 May
vs Henan Jianye
1–2
L
19 May
@ Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
10 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
2–2
D
6 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–0
W
2 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Beijing Guoan 51%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 0–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Longxing Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
