Value bet: Sichuan Jiuniu to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSichuan Jiuniu to win ✓57% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 30 May the Super League brings Sichuan Jiuniu against Qingdao Jonoon at Shenzhen Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Jonoon are 16th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sichuan Jiuniu, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shanghai Shenhua, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Qingdao Jonoon, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chongqing Tongliang Long, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Qingdao Jonoon, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Sichuan Jiuniu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sichuan Jiuniu 2.0 xG, Qingdao Jonoon 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sichuan Jiuniu 57%, draw 21%, Qingdao Jonoon 22%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Sichuan Jiuniu to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Qingdao Jonoon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sichuan Jiuniu57%fair 1.74 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.50
Qingdao Jonoon22%fair 4.55 · @3.45
3.02Expected goals
1.96Sichuan Jiuniu xG
1.06Qingdao Jonoon xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sichuan Jiuniu 2.0 – 1.1 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sichuan Jiuniu to win✓
57%
1.74
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Sichuan Jiuniu (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Qingdao Jonoon +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sichuan Jiuniu to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Sichuan Jiuniu ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sichuan Jiuniu / FT Sichuan Jiuniu✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Sichuan Jiuniu – last 6
WDLDLW
24 May
@ Shanghai Shenhua
2–1
W
19 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
10 May
vs Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
6 May
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
2 May
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
LLWWWW
24 May
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–1
L
20 May
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
10 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–1
W
6 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns
3–1
W
2 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Qingdao Jonoon.
What is the prediction for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
On our numbers Sichuan Jiuniu have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qingdao Jonoon 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our predicted score is Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Jonoon (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Shenzhen Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
