Value bet: Kastrioti Krujë to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBurreli to win ✗44% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Kastrioti Krujë vs Burreli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: Kastrioti Krujë v Burreli in the 1st Division. In the table, Kastrioti Krujë are 9th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Burreli are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Burreli, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Besa Kavajë, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kastrioti Krujë 1.3 xG, Burreli 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kastrioti Krujë 34%, draw 22%, Burreli 44%.
Price worth noting: Kastrioti Krujë to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kastrioti Krujë 1–1 Burreli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kastrioti Krujë34%fair 2.91 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
Burreli44%fair 2.28 · @1.83
2.51Expected goals
1.33Kastrioti Krujë xG
1.18Burreli xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kastrioti Krujë 1.3 – 1.2 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burreli to win✗
44%
2.28
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Burreli (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Burreli +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Kastrioti Krujë to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kastrioti Krujë / FT Kastrioti Krujë✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Kastrioti Krujë – last 2
LW
28 Feb
@ Korabi Peshkopi
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Apolonia Fier
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Burreli – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
@ Besa Kavajë
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Korabi Peshkopi
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Pogradeci
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kastrioti Krujë and Burreli.
What is the prediction for Kastrioti Krujë vs Burreli?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Kastrioti Krujë vs Burreli?
On our numbers Kastrioti Krujë have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burreli 44%.
How many goals will there be in Kastrioti Krujë vs Burreli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kastrioti Krujë vs Burreli?
Our predicted score is Kastrioti Krujë 1–1 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kastrioti Krujë vs Burreli?
Kastrioti Krujë vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luftëtari2
Apolonia Fier2
Lushnja2
Laci5
Skenderbeu Korce0