Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogradeci to win ✓65% · @1.20
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓7% · fair 14.30
Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogradeci welcome Iliria Fushë-Krujë for a 1st Division fixture on Wednesday 18 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Iliria Fushë-Krujë are 1st (leading the league) with 21.
Current form
Pogradeci, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Apolonia Fier, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FK Kukesi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 1.8 xG, Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 65%, draw 22%, Iliria Fushë-Krujë 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (65%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 1–0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci65%fair 1.54 · @1.20
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @5.50
Iliria Fushë-Krujë13%fair 7.53 · @11.00
2.59Expected goals
1.77Pogradeci xG
0.81Iliria Fushë-Krujë xG
44%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 1.8 – 0.8 Iliria Fushë-Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
65%
1.54
1.20
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
7%
14.30
–
Recent results
Pogradeci – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
@ Apolonia Fier
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Lushnja
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Burreli
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Iliria Fushë-Krujë – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs FK Kukesi
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Besa Kavajë
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Lushnja
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Iliria Fushë-Krujë 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 1–0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë (1st Division) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luftëtari2
Apolonia Fier2
Lushnja2
Laci5
Skenderbeu Korce0