Value bet: Besa Kavajë to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultApolonia Fier to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Apolonia Fier v Besa Kavajë in the 1st Division, played at Stadiumi Loni Papuciu.
Current form
Apolonia Fier, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Luftëtari, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Besa Kavajë, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Luftëtari, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Besa Kavajë, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Apolonia Fier.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Apolonia Fier 1.4 xG, Besa Kavajë 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Apolonia Fier 44%, draw 25%, Besa Kavajë 31%.
Price worth noting: Besa Kavajë to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apolonia Fier 1–1 Besa Kavajë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Apolonia Fier44%fair 2.28 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
Besa Kavajë31%fair 3.24 · @3.50
2.82Expected goals
1.41Apolonia Fier xG
1.41Besa Kavajë xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–08%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Apolonia Fier 1.4 – 1.4 Besa Kavajë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Apolonia Fier to win✗
44%
2.28
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Apolonia Fier (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Besa Kavajë +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Apolonia Fier to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Apolonia Fier / FT Apolonia Fier✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Apolonia Fier – last 3
DLL
18 Mar
@ Luftëtari
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Pogradeci
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kastrioti Krujë
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Besa Kavajë – last 5
WLLWL
5 Apr
@ Luftëtari
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs Skenderbeu Korce
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Laci
3–5
L
1 Mar
vs Burreli
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apolonia Fier and Besa Kavajë.
What is the prediction for Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë?
On our numbers Apolonia Fier have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Besa Kavajë 31%.
How many goals will there be in Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë?
Our predicted score is Apolonia Fier 1–1 Besa Kavajë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë?
Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Loni Papuciu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luftëtari2
Laci2
Lushnja0