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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Laci v Pogradeci: numbers & prediction

1st Division · Albania

Laci

DWWW
2–0
FT
Laci 49%Draw 25%Pogradeci 26% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.22
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLaci to win ✓49% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.88

Laci vs Pogradeci: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Laci v Pogradeci in the 1st Division.

Current form

Laci, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iliria Fushë-Krujë, away. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Pogradeci, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Burreli, away. 2.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Laci.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Laci 1.4 xG, Pogradeci 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Laci 49%, draw 25%, Pogradeci 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Laci 1–1 Pogradeci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Laci49%fair 2.04 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Pogradeci26%fair 3.78 · @4.75
2.63Expected goals
1.41Laci xG
1.22Pogradeci xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Laci 1.4 – 1.2 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLaci to win ✓49%2.041.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betLaci (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapPogradeci +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreLaci to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Laci / FT Laci ✓24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.88–

Recent results

Laci – last 4

DWWW
22 Mar@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë1–1D
18 Marvs Besa Kavajë5–3W
28 Feb@ Lushnja5–1W
21 Febvs Luftëtari2–1W
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Pogradeci – last 5

WWWWW
22 Mar@ Burreli3–0W
18 Marvs Iliria Fushë-Krujë3–0W
28 Feb@ Apolonia Fier2–1W
21 Febvs Lushnja3–1W
15 Febvs Burreli2–0W
2.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Laci and Pogradeci.

Laci vs Pogradeci head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Iliria Fushë-Krujë10631+521
2Besa Kavajë10532+1118
3Bylis10460+518
4FK Kukesi10604+318
5Pogradeci10451+617
6Flamurtari10442+616
7Besëlidhja Lezhë10424+314
8Korabi Peshkopi10334-612
9Kastrioti Krujë10325-211
10Burreli10145-67
11Sopoti Librazhd10145-107
12Oriku10028-152

More 1st Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Laci vs Pogradeci?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Laci vs Pogradeci?

On our numbers Laci have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogradeci 26%.

How many goals will there be in Laci vs Pogradeci?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Laci vs Pogradeci?

Our predicted score is Laci 1–1 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Laci vs Pogradeci?

Laci vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.