Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Apolonia Fier vs Burreli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Apolonia Fier welcome Burreli to Stadiumi Loni Papuciu for a 1st Division fixture on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Apolonia Fier, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Besa Kavajë, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Burreli, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Luftëtari, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Apolonia Fier 1.6 xG, Burreli 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Apolonia Fier 49%, draw 25%, Burreli 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apolonia Fier 1–0 Burreli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Apolonia Fier49%fair 2.04 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Burreli26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
2.52Expected goals
1.57Apolonia Fier xG
0.96Burreli xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Apolonia Fier 1.6 – 1.0 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Apolonia Fier to win✗
49%
2.04
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Apolonia Fier (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Burreli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Apolonia Fier to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Apolonia Fier / FT Apolonia Fier✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.97
–
Recent results
Apolonia Fier – last 4
LDLL
19 Apr
vs Besa Kavajë
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Luftëtari
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Pogradeci
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kastrioti Krujë
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Burreli – last 6
LLLLDL
19 Apr
@ Luftëtari
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Pogradeci
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Kastrioti Krujë
2–5
L
1 Mar
@ Besa Kavajë
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Korabi Peshkopi
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Pogradeci
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apolonia Fier and Burreli.
What is the prediction for Apolonia Fier vs Burreli?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Apolonia Fier vs Burreli?
On our numbers Apolonia Fier have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Burreli 26%.
How many goals will there be in Apolonia Fier vs Burreli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apolonia Fier vs Burreli?
Our predicted score is Apolonia Fier 1–0 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Apolonia Fier vs Burreli?
Apolonia Fier vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Loni Papuciu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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