Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultKastrioti Krujë to win ✓60% · @1.36
Double chanceKastrioti Krujë or draw ✓80% · @1.70
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Lushnja vs Kastrioti Krujë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the 1st Division brings Lushnja against Kastrioti Krujë. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Lushnja, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Iliria Fushë-Krujë, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Kastrioti Krujë, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Skenderbeu Korce, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kastrioti Krujë, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Lushnja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lushnja 1.1 xG, Kastrioti Krujë 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lushnja 20%, draw 20%, Kastrioti Krujë 60%.
Lower-risk option: Kastrioti Krujë or draw (80%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kastrioti Krujë or draw (80%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lushnja 1–1 Kastrioti Krujë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lushnja20%fair 5.12 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
Kastrioti Krujë60%fair 1.67 · @1.36
3.02Expected goals
1.11Lushnja xG
1.91Kastrioti Krujë xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Lushnja 1.1 – 1.9 Kastrioti Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kastrioti Krujë to win✓
60%
1.67
1.36
Double chance
Kastrioti Krujë or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.70 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Kastrioti Krujë (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Lushnja +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Kastrioti Krujë to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Kastrioti Krujë ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kastrioti Krujë / FT Kastrioti Krujë✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Lushnja – last 5
LLLLL
19 Apr
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ FK Kukesi
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Laci
1–5
L
21 Feb
@ Pogradeci
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kastrioti Krujë – last 5
LLWLW
19 Apr
@ Skenderbeu Korce
0–4
L
22 Mar
vs FK Kukesi
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Burreli
5–2
W
28 Feb
@ Korabi Peshkopi
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Apolonia Fier
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lushnja and Kastrioti Krujë.
What is the prediction for Lushnja vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our pick is Kastrioti Krujë or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lushnja vs Kastrioti Krujë?
On our numbers Lushnja have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kastrioti Krujë 60%.
How many goals will there be in Lushnja vs Kastrioti Krujë?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lushnja vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our predicted score is Lushnja 1–1 Kastrioti Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lushnja vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Lushnja vs Kastrioti Krujë (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Apolonia Fier4