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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

England v Costa Rica: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Inter&Co Stadium
3–0
FT
England 74%Draw 15%Costa Rica 11% Expected goals 2.48 – 0.87
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEngland to win ✓74% · @1.17
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67

England vs Costa Rica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Costa Rica travel to face England on Wednesday 10 June in the Friendlies, with Inter&Co Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

England, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over New Zealand, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give England 2.5 xG, Costa Rica 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – England 74%, draw 15%, Costa Rica 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.50.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: England 2–1 Costa Rica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

England74%fair 1.34 · @1.17
Draw15%fair 6.61 · @7.20
Costa Rica11%fair 9.51 · @13.50
3.35Expected goals
2.48England xG
0.87Costa Rica xG
53%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%

From our goals model: England 2.5 – 0.9 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

EnglandCosta Rica
Attack vs Friendlies average-4%-9%
Goals conceded vs average-17%+23%
Our expected goals here2.771.05

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEngland to win ✓74%1.341.17
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.882.50 ▲
Draw no betEngland (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapEngland -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.741.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
First team to scoreEngland to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultEngland ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT England / FT England ✓49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.67–

Recent results

England – last 3

WLD
6 Junvs New Zealand1–0W
31 Marvs Japan0–1L
27 Marvs Uruguay1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Costa Rica – last 2

LD
31 Marvs Iran0–5L
27 Mar@ Jordan2–2D
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between England and Costa Rica.

England vs Costa Rica head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for England vs Costa Rica?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win England vs Costa Rica?

On our numbers England have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Costa Rica 11%.

How many goals will there be in England vs Costa Rica?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for England vs Costa Rica?

Our predicted score is England 2–1 Costa Rica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is England vs Costa Rica?

England vs Costa Rica (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Inter&Co Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.