Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArgentina to win ✓76% · @1.21
Double chanceArgentina or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Argentina vs Iceland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 10 June the Friendlies brings Argentina against Iceland at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Argentina, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Honduras, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Iceland, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Japan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Argentina, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Iceland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentina 2.5 xG, Iceland 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentina 76%, draw 16%, Iceland 8%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Argentina to win (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentina 2–0 Iceland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentina76%fair 1.32 · @1.21
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @6.40
Iceland8%fair 11.83 · @12.00
3.20Expected goals
2.52Argentina xG
0.68Iceland xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Argentina 2.5 – 0.7 Iceland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Argentina
Iceland
Attack vs Friendlies average
+59%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
+1%
Our expected goals here
2.76
0.66
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentina to win✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Double chance
Argentina or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Argentina (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Argentina -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
Argentina to score first✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Argentina ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentina / FT Argentina✓
53%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Argentina – last 3
WWW
7 Jun
vs Honduras
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Zambia
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Mauritania
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Iceland – last 3
LDL
31 May
@ Japan
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Haiti
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Mexico
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Iceland.
Our pick is Argentina to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Argentina vs Iceland?
On our numbers Argentina have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Iceland 8%.
How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Iceland?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Iceland?
Our predicted score is Argentina 2–0 Iceland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Argentina vs Iceland?
Argentina vs Iceland (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.