Portugal 64%Draw 20%Nigeria 17%Expected goals 1.92 – 1.06
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortugal to win ✓64% · @1.29
Double chancePortugal or draw ✓83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Portugal vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nigeria travel to face Portugal on Wednesday 10 June in the Friendlies, with Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Portugal, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chile, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Nigeria, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Poland, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugal 1.9 xG, Nigeria 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugal 64%, draw 20%, Nigeria 17%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugal 1–1 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugal64%fair 1.57 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @5.50
Nigeria17%fair 5.93 · @8.50
2.99Expected goals
1.92Portugal xG
1.06Nigeria xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Portugal 1.9 – 1.1 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Portugal
Nigeria
Attack vs Friendlies average
+2%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.84
1.33
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal to win✓
64%
1.57
1.29
Double chance
Portugal or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Portugal (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Nigeria +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Portugal to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Portugal ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal / FT Portugal✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Portugal – last 3
WWD
6 Jun
vs Chile
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ USA
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Mexico
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 4
DWDW
3 Jun
@ Poland
2–2
D
26 May
vs Zimbabwe
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Iran
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugal and Nigeria.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Portugal vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Portugal have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nigeria 17%.
How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Nigeria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Portugal 1–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Portugal vs Nigeria?
Portugal vs Nigeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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