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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bate Borisov v Slavia Mozyr: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Borisov Arena
2–1
FT
Bate Borisov 39%Draw 24%Slavia Mozyr 37% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.08
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.37Odds
1

Value bet: Bate Borisov to win @ 2.74 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBate Borisov to win ✓39% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.29

Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bate Borisov welcome Slavia Mozyr to Borisov Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Bate Borisov are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 28 matches; Slavia Mozyr are 10th (lower half) with 34.

Current form

Bate Borisov, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zenit, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Slavia Mozyr, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Naftan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Slavia Mozyr, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Bate Borisov.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate Borisov. The last 3 head-to-heads: Bate Borisov 2 wins, Slavia Mozyr 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 1.1 xG, Slavia Mozyr 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 39%, draw 24%, Slavia Mozyr 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Bate Borisov to win @2.74 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 1–1 Slavia Mozyr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bate Borisov39%fair 2.57 · @2.74
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.02
Slavia Mozyr37%fair 2.72 · @2.64
2.20Expected goals
1.12Bate Borisov xG
1.08Slavia Mozyr xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.1 – 1.1 Slavia Mozyr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBate Borisov to win ✓39%2.572.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.90
Draw no betBate Borisov (draw no bet) ✓51%1.94–
Asian handicapSlavia Mozyr +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.37
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.02
First team to scoreBate Borisov to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov ✓21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%13.29–

Recent results

Bate Borisov – last 6

LLDLLW
4 Oct@ Zenit0–1L
19 Sep@ Dinamo Minsk0–2L
13 Sepvs Naftan2–2D
7 Sep@ Dinamo Brest0–1L
3 Sep@ FC Isloch Minsk R.0–2L
30 Augvs FC Minsk2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Slavia Mozyr – last 6

LLWLDW
19 Sepvs Naftan0–1L
11 Sep@ FC Minsk0–1L
4 Sepvs FC Vitebsk3–0W
29 Aug@ Neman0–1L
22 Augvs FC Gomel0–0D
14 Aug@ Arsenal3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Slavia Mozyr v Bate Borisov1–1
29 Apr 2026Bate Borisov v Slavia Mozyr2–0
15 Apr 2026Slavia Mozyr v Bate Borisov0–1
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Slavia Mozyr 37%.

How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 1–1 Slavia Mozyr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.