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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Minsk v Torpedo Zhodino: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · FC Minsk Stadium
0–1
FT
FC Minsk 39%Draw 21%Torpedo Zhodino 40% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.34
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Torpedo Zhodino to win @ 2.66 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Zhodino to win ✓40% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06

FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Premier League brings FC Minsk against Torpedo Zhodino at FC Minsk Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, FC Minsk are 9th, lower half, on 35 points after 28 matches; Torpedo Zhodino are 8th (upper half) with 36. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Minsk, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Torpedo Zhodino, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Torpedo Moskva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Minsk, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Torpedo Zhodino.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Torpedo Zhodino 3–0 FC Minsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Minsk 1.3 xG, Torpedo Zhodino 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Minsk 39%, draw 21%, Torpedo Zhodino 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Torpedo Zhodino to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Minsk 1–1 Torpedo Zhodino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Minsk39%fair 2.59 · @2.43
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.48
Torpedo Zhodino40%fair 2.50 · @2.66
2.64Expected goals
1.31FC Minsk xG
1.34Torpedo Zhodino xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: FC Minsk 1.3 – 1.3 Torpedo Zhodino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Zhodino to win ✓40%2.502.66 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.65
Draw no betTorpedo Zhodino (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapFC Minsk +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.08
First team to scoreTorpedo Zhodino to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Zhodino / FT Torpedo Zhodino ✗22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.06–

Recent results

FC Minsk – last 6

DLWWLL
3 Oct@ Arsenal0–0D
18 Sep@ Belshina0–2L
11 Sepvs Slavia Mozyr1–0W
6 Sep@ Naftan3–0W
30 Aug@ Bate Borisov1–2L
21 Augvs FC Vitebsk0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Torpedo Zhodino – last 6

LLLLWD
3 Octvs Torpedo Moskva1–2L
20 Sep@ FC Vitebsk0–6L
12 Sep@ Neman0–1L
5 Sepvs FC Gomel1–2L
30 Aug@ Arsenal4–2W
24 Augvs FC Dnepr Mogilev0–0D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Torpedo Zhodino v FC Minsk3–0
FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

On our numbers FC Minsk have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torpedo Zhodino 40%.

How many goals will there be in FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Our predicted score is FC Minsk 1–1 Torpedo Zhodino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at FC Minsk Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.