Value bet: Belshina to win @ 2.46 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBelshina to win ✗44% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Naftan vs Belshina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Naftan v Belshina in the Premier League, played at Atlant Stadium. In the table, Naftan are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 28 matches; Belshina are 13th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Naftan, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Slavia Mozyr, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Belshina, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Gomel, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Belshina 5–1 Naftan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naftan 1.3 xG, Belshina 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naftan 34%, draw 22%, Belshina 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Belshina to win @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftan 1–1 Belshina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naftan34%fair 2.91 · @2.68
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.38
Belshina44%fair 2.27 · @2.46
2.81Expected goals
1.30Naftan xG
1.51Belshina xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Naftan 1.3 – 1.5 Belshina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naftan vs Belshina?
On our numbers Naftan have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Belshina 44%.
How many goals will there be in Naftan vs Belshina?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftan vs Belshina?
Our predicted score is Naftan 1–1 Belshina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Naftan vs Belshina?
Naftan vs Belshina (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
