Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultItuano to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceItuano or draw ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.40
Ituano vs Figueirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ituano welcome Figueirense for a Serie C fixture on Sunday 21 June (00:30 WAT). In the table, Ituano are 15th, lower half, on 22 points after 19 matches; Figueirense are 11th (lower half) with 28.
Current form
Ituano, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AO Itabaiana, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Figueirense, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Floresta, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ituano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Figueirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituano 1.1 xG, Figueirense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituano 44%, draw 30%, Figueirense 26%.
Lower-risk option: Ituano or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ituano or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituano 1–1 Figueirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituano44%fair 2.28 · @1.95
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.90
Figueirense26%fair 3.80 · @3.60
2.12Expected goals
1.11Ituano xG
1.01Figueirense xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.1 – 1.0 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✗
44%
2.28
1.95
Double chance
Ituano or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Ituano (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Figueirense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ituano to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.40
–
Recent results
Ituano – last 6
DLWWWL
14 Jun
@ AO Itabaiana
2–2
D
30 May
@ Caxias
1–2
L
26 May
vs Botafogo PB
1–0
W
17 May
@ Guarani Campinas
3–1
W
10 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
5 May
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Figueirense – last 6
WWDLLL
14 Jun
@ Floresta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs Paysandu
2–1
W
24 May
@ Confiança
0–0
D
16 May
vs AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
5 May
vs Barra
0–3
L
14 Apr
vs Maringá
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Figueirense.
Our pick is Ituano or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ituano vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Ituano have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Figueirense 26%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Figueirense?
Ituano vs Figueirense (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
