Caxias vs Maringá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 21 June the Serie C brings Caxias against Maringá at Estadio Francisco Stedile. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Caxias are 14th on 25 points after 19 matches; Maringá are 1st with 11. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Caxias, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guarani Campinas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Maringá, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Maranhão, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caxias, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Maringá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caxias 1.3 xG, Maringá 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caxias 40%, draw 28%, Maringá 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caxias 1–1 Maringá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caxias40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.20
Maringá32%fair 3.11 · @3.20
2.48Expected goals
1.29Caxias xG
1.20Maringá xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.3 – 1.2 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✗
40%
2.48
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
Caxias (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Maringá +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Caxias to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Caxias – last 6
LWDWDW
13 Jun
@ Guarani Campinas
1–2
L
30 May
vs Ituano
2–1
W
23 May
@ Maranhão
0–0
D
17 May
vs Paysandu
2–0
W
7 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
1 May
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maringá – last 6
DLDLLW
15 Jun
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
30 May
@ Botafogo PB
1–2
L
23 May
vs Santa Cruz
1–1
D
12 May
vs Guarani Campinas
0–5
L
21 Apr
vs Brusque
2–3
L
14 Apr
@ Figueirense
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Maringá.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Caxias vs Maringá?
On our numbers Caxias have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Maringá 32%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Caxias 1–1 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Maringá?
Caxias vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
