Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaranhão to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Maranhão vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu travel to face Maranhão on Sunday 21 June in the Serie C – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Maranhão are 12th on 27 points after 19 matches; Paysandu are 4th with 5. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maranhão, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Maringá, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Paysandu, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Inter De Limeira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paysandu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Maranhão.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maranhão 1.3 xG, Paysandu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maranhão 38%, draw 28%, Paysandu 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maranhão 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maranhão38%fair 2.62 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
Paysandu34%fair 2.92 · @2.55
2.44Expected goals
1.29Maranhão xG
1.15Paysandu xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.3 – 1.1 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✗
38%
2.62
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Maranhão (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Paysandu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Maranhão to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Maranhão – last 6
DDDLWL
15 Jun
@ Maringá
0–0
D
31 May
@ Anápolis
0–0
D
23 May
vs Caxias
0–0
D
19 May
@ Confiança
1–2
L
5 May
@ Floresta
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Ceara
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
LLWWWL
14 Jun
vs Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
1 Jun
@ Figueirense
1–2
L
29 May
@ Nacional AM
4–2
W
26 May
vs Floresta
2–1
W
21 May
vs Nacional AM
1–0
W
17 May
@ Caxias
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and Paysandu.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maranhão vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Paysandu 34%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs Paysandu?
Maranhão vs Paysandu (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
