Barra 60%Draw 25%AO Itabaiana 15%Expected goals 1.53 – 0.61
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Barra to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBarra to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceBarra or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.57
Barra vs AO Itabaiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Serie C brings Barra against AO Itabaiana. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Barra are 17th, lower half, on 21 points after 19 matches; AO Itabaiana are 19th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Barra, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ituano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
AO Itabaiana, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Caxias, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AO Itabaiana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Barra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barra 1.5 xG, AO Itabaiana 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barra 60%, draw 25%, AO Itabaiana 15%.
Lower-risk option: Barra or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Barra to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barra 2–0 AO Itabaiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barra60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.00
AO Itabaiana15%fair 6.73 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.53Barra xG
0.61AO Itabaiana xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barra 1.5 – 0.6 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Barra or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.57
Draw no bet
Barra (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Barra to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.57
–
Recent results
Barra – last 6
LLLWLD
8 Aug
@ Ituano
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Santa Cruz
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 6
LDWWWL
9 Aug
vs Caxias
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Confiança
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Brusque
1–0
W
7 Jul
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and AO Itabaiana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Barra have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AO Itabaiana 15%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Barra 2–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
Barra vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
