Value bet: Maringá to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaringá to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Confiança vs Maringá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Confiança welcome Maringá for a Serie C fixture on Sunday 16 August (22:30 WAT). In the table, Confiança are 20th on 13 points after 19 matches; Maringá are 1st with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Confiança, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Paysandu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Maringá, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Amazonas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maringá, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Confiança.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Confiança 1.2 xG, Maringá 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Confiança 35%, draw 23%, Maringá 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Maringá to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Confiança 1–1 Maringá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Confiança35%fair 2.83 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Maringá42%fair 2.38 · @2.62
2.58Expected goals
1.22Confiança xG
1.36Maringá xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.2 – 1.4 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maringá to win✗
42%
2.38
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Maringá (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Confiança +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Maringá to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maringá / FT Maringá✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Confiança – last 6
LDLLDW
11 Aug
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs AO Itabaiana
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Barra
1–2
L
29 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maringá – last 6
LDWWDD
9 Aug
vs Amazonas
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Floresta
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Anápolis
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Volta Redonda
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Inter De Limeira
2–2
D
21 Jun
@ Caxias
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Maringá.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Confiança vs Maringá?
On our numbers Confiança have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maringá 42%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–1 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Maringá?
Confiança vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
