Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaxias to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceCaxias or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Caxias vs Figueirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Serie C brings Caxias against Figueirense at Estadio Francisco Stedile. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Caxias are 14th, lower half, on 25 points after 19 matches; Figueirense are 11th (lower half) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caxias, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AO Itabaiana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Figueirense, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ferroviária, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caxias 1.4 xG, Figueirense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caxias 54%, draw 27%, Figueirense 19%.
Lower-risk option: Caxias or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caxias 2–0 Figueirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caxias54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.00
Figueirense19%fair 5.28 · @3.80
2.12Expected goals
1.42Caxias xG
0.71Figueirense xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.4 – 0.7 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Caxias or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
Caxias (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Figueirense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Caxias to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Caxias – last 6
WLDWDD
9 Aug
@ AO Itabaiana
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Floresta
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Ferroviária
1–0
W
30 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Maringá
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Figueirense – last 6
DWDLDD
8 Aug
vs Ferroviária
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Volta Redonda
0–0
D
6 Jul
@ Brusque
1–3
L
28 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Ituano
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Figueirense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caxias vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Caxias have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Figueirense 19%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Caxias 2–0 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Figueirense?
Caxias vs Figueirense (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
