Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaranhão to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Maranhão vs AO Itabaiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maranhão welcome AO Itabaiana for a Serie C fixture on Sunday 23 August (22:30 WAT). In the table, Maranhão are 12th, lower half, on 27 points after 19 matches; AO Itabaiana are 19th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Maranhão, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Santa Cruz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AO Itabaiana, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maranhão 1.1 xG, AO Itabaiana 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maranhão 46%, draw 24%, AO Itabaiana 30%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maranhão 1–0 AO Itabaiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maranhão46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.95
AO Itabaiana30%fair 3.37 · @3.55
1.96Expected goals
1.14Maranhão xG
0.83AO Itabaiana xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.1 – 0.8 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✓
46%
2.18
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.55
Draw no bet
Maranhão (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Maranhão to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Recent results
Maranhão – last 6
WWDWLD
15 Aug
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Brusque
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Ferroviária
0–0
D
12 Jul
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Inter De Limeira
0–1
L
29 Jun
@ Ituano
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 6
LLDWWW
16 Aug
@ Barra
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Caxias
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Confiança
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Brusque
1–0
W
7 Jul
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and AO Itabaiana.
What is the prediction for Maranhão vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Maranhão vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AO Itabaiana 30%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs AO Itabaiana?
Maranhão vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
