Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaringá to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Maringá vs Barra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barra travel to face Maringá on Sunday 23 August in the Serie C – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Maringá are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Barra are 17th with 21.
Current form
Maringá, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Confiança, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Barra, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AO Itabaiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Maringá, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Barra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maringá 1.8 xG, Barra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maringá 59%, draw 22%, Barra 19%.
Lower-risk option: Maringá or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maringá to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maringá 1–0 Barra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maringá59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Barra19%fair 5.23 · @4.60
2.79Expected goals
1.84Maringá xG
0.95Barra xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.8 – 0.9 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maringá to win✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Maringá or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Maringá (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Barra +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Maringá to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Maringá ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maringá / FT Maringá✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Maringá – last 6
DLDWWD
16 Aug
@ Confiança
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Amazonas
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Floresta
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Anápolis
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Volta Redonda
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Inter De Limeira
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
WLLLWL
16 Aug
vs AO Itabaiana
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ituano
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Santa Cruz
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maringá and Barra.
Our pick is Maringá to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Maringá vs Barra?
On our numbers Maringá have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Barra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Barra?
Maringá vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
