Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYpiranga-RS to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Ypiranga-RS v Ferroviária in the Serie C. In the table, Ypiranga-RS are 9th on 29 points after 19 matches; Ferroviária are 1st with 11. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ypiranga-RS, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guarani Campinas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ferroviária, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ypiranga-RS, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Ferroviária.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ypiranga-RS 1.2 xG, Ferroviária 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ypiranga-RS 39%, draw 23%, Ferroviária 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Ferroviária to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ypiranga-RS 1–1 Ferroviária. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ypiranga-RS39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Ferroviária38%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.38Expected goals
1.21Ypiranga-RS xG
1.17Ferroviária xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ypiranga-RS 1.2 – 1.2 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ypiranga-RS to win✓
39%
2.55
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Ypiranga-RS (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Ferroviária +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ypiranga-RS to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ypiranga-RS / FT Ypiranga-RS✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Ypiranga-RS – last 6
DWWLWD
18 Aug
@ Guarani Campinas
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Floresta
4–1
W
26 Jul
vs Barra
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Maranhão
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
29 Jun
vs Confiança
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ferroviária – last 6
WDDWLL
18 Aug
vs Paysandu
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Figueirense
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Ituano
3–1
W
5 Jul
vs Caxias
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ypiranga-RS and Ferroviária.
What is the prediction for Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária?
On our numbers Ypiranga-RS have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ferroviária 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária?
Our predicted score is Ypiranga-RS 1–1 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária?
Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
