Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.23
Ferroviária vs Confiança: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Confiança travel to face Ferroviária on Saturday 29 August in the Serie C, with Arena Fonte Luminosa the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Ferroviária are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Confiança are 20th with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ferroviária, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ypiranga-RS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Confiança, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Anápolis, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ferroviária, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Confiança.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.5 xG, Confiança 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 67%, draw 22%, Confiança 10%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ferroviária to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–0 Confiança. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária67%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.90
Confiança10%fair 9.72 · @7.50
1.83Expected goals
1.48Ferroviária xG
0.35Confiança xG
43%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
2–017%
0–016%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.5 – 0.4 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Draw no bet
Ferroviária (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Ferroviária -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
24%
4.23
–
Recent results
Ferroviária – last 6
LWDDWL
23 Aug
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Paysandu
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Figueirense
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Ituano
3–1
W
5 Jul
vs Caxias
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 6
LDLDLL
22 Aug
vs Anápolis
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Maringá
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs AO Itabaiana
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Barra
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Confiança.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Confiança?
Our pick is Ferroviária to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Confiança?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Confiança 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Confiança?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Confiança?
Ferroviária vs Confiança (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
