Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFloresta to win ✓56% · @1.81
Double chanceFloresta or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Floresta vs Ituano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Serie C brings Floresta against Ituano. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Floresta are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Ituano are 15th with 22. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Floresta, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Volta Redonda, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ituano, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Floresta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Ituano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Floresta 1.4 xG, Ituano 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Floresta 56%, draw 25%, Ituano 19%.
Lower-risk option: Floresta or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.54.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Floresta 2–0 Ituano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Floresta56%fair 1.79 · @1.81
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.08
Ituano19%fair 5.15 · @4.25
2.14Expected goals
1.44Floresta xG
0.70Ituano xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Floresta 1.4 – 0.7 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floresta to win✓
56%
1.79
1.81
Double chance
Floresta or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.54
Draw no bet
Floresta (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Ituano +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Floresta to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floresta / FT Floresta✓
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.93
–
Recent results
Floresta – last 6
WWLDDD
22 Aug
@ Volta Redonda
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–4
L
28 Jul
vs Maringá
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Caxias
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Guarani Campinas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ituano – last 6
LLWLLL
22 Aug
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Barra
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Brusque
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Ferroviária
1–3
L
4 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floresta and Ituano.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Floresta vs Ituano?
On our numbers Floresta have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ituano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is Floresta 2–0 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Ituano?
Floresta vs Ituano (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
