Value bet: Botafogo PB to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo PB to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.32
AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Serie C brings AO Itabaiana against Botafogo PB at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, AO Itabaiana are 19th on 17 points after 19 matches; Botafogo PB are 4th with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AO Itabaiana, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Maranhão, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Botafogo PB, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Guarani Campinas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Botafogo PB, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for AO Itabaiana.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended AO Itabaiana 3–3 Botafogo PB.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AO Itabaiana 1.1 xG, Botafogo PB 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AO Itabaiana 34%, draw 25%, Botafogo PB 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Botafogo PB to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AO Itabaiana 1–1 Botafogo PB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AO Itabaiana34%fair 2.92 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Botafogo PB41%fair 2.44 · @2.75
2.33Expected goals
1.10AO Itabaiana xG
1.23Botafogo PB xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.1 – 1.2 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Botafogo PB 41%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 1–1 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
