Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNigeria to win ✗52% · @1.70
Double chanceNigeria or draw ✓78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Jordan vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Jordan v Nigeria in the Friendlies, played at Mardan Sports Complex.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jordan 1.3 xG, Nigeria 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jordan 22%, draw 26%, Nigeria 52%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jordan 1–1 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jordan22%fair 4.55 · @4.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
Nigeria52%fair 1.91 · @1.70
3.05Expected goals
1.26Jordan xG
1.79Nigeria xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jordan 1.3 – 1.8 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jordan
Nigeria
Attack vs Friendlies average
-24%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.63
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nigeria to win✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Double chance
Nigeria or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Nigeria (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Jordan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Nigeria to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nigeria / FT Nigeria✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Jordan – last 1
D
27 Mar
vs Costa Rica
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ Iran
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jordan and Nigeria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jordan vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Jordan have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nigeria 52%.
How many goals will there be in Jordan vs Nigeria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jordan vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Jordan 1–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jordan vs Nigeria?
Jordan vs Nigeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Mardan Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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