Kaspiy vs FC Astana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Kaspiy v FC Astana in the Premier League, played at Zhestar Stadium. In the table, Kaspiy are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; FC Astana are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kaspiy, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ordabasy, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
FC Astana, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FK Tobol Kostanay, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Astana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Kaspiy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaspiy 1.0 xG, FC Astana 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaspiy 17%, draw 23%, FC Astana 60%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.89.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaspiy 1–1 FC Astana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaspiy17%fair 5.88 · @7.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.82
FC Astana60%fair 1.68 · @1.40
2.66Expected goals
0.95Kaspiy xG
1.71FC Astana xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.0 – 1.7 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Astana to win
60%
1.68
1.40
Double chance
FC Astana or draw
83%
1.21
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.89
Draw no bet
FC Astana (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Kaspiy +1.5 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
FC Astana to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Astana / FT FC Astana
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Kaspiy – last 6
LLWLDL
30 Apr
@ Ordabasy
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Astana – last 6
LWLWDW
29 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ BKS
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
0–4
L
20 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Kaisar
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Zhetysu
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and FC Astana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Astana 60%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–1 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
Kaspiy vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
