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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zhenys v FK Tobol Kostanay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Astana Arena

Zhenys

WWLWD
1–0
FT
Zhenys 37%Draw 27%FK Tobol Kostanay 36% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.33
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultZhenys to win ✓37% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zhenys welcome FK Tobol Kostanay to Astana Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Zhenys are 8th, upper half, on 36 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41.

Current form

Zhenys, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Okzhetpes, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Astana, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zhenys 1.3 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zhenys 37%, draw 27%, FK Tobol Kostanay 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.66.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zhenys 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zhenys37%fair 2.68 · @2.54
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.84
FK Tobol Kostanay36%fair 2.80 · @2.74
2.68Expected goals
1.34Zhenys xG
1.33FK Tobol Kostanay xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Zhenys 1.3 – 1.3 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZhenys to win ✓37%2.682.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.66
Draw no betZhenys (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapFK Tobol Kostanay +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.08
First team to scoreZhenys to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zhenys / FT Zhenys ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.08–

Recent results

Zhenys – last 6

WWLWDD
29 Apr@ Okzhetpes3–2W
19 Aprvs Aktobe1–0W
12 Apr@ Kyzyl-Zhar0–4L
9 Apr@ Chromtau4–1W
5 Aprvs Okzhetpes1–1D
20 Mar@ Atyrau0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WWLWLL
29 Apr@ FC Astana2–1W
26 Aprvs Kaspiy2–1W
19 Apr@ Ulytau1–2L
8 Apr@ Ansat8–0W
4 Apr@ Yelimay Semey0–1L
20 Mar@ FC Astana0–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and FK Tobol Kostanay.

Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers Zhenys have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FK Tobol Kostanay 36%.

How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is Zhenys 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Zhenys vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.